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Mr. Goolsbee, the Fed, said we might leave interest rates on hold for now. The neutral equilibrium point for interest rates has fallen.
Chicago Fed President Bill Goolsbee said interest rates would still fall "quite a bit" and the labour market appeared to be reaching full employment. Click to view...
The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee said that we are confident in keeping inflation at 2%, which is a commitment given by the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee said that over the next year, interest rates should drop significantly from current levels.
Federal Reserve Goolsby said he expects the central bank to continue cutting interest rates in order to achieve the goal of neither restricting nor boosting economic activity. "Unless there is compelling evidence that the economy is overheating, I see no reason not to continue cutting the federal funds rate," Goolsby said. "The pace of rate cuts depends on the outlook and conditions. But in my opinion, we are on a clear path that will lead to lower interest rates and closer to the neutral rate."...
Mr. Goolsbee said the pace of rate cuts was likely to slow as rates moved closer to a stable level, with rates set to "fall significantly" over the next year. The labour market has cooled and is close to full employment.
Mr. Goolsbee said that we would look at rate cuts with reference to the Fed's September dot plot, and that personally I would prefer not to go straight towards the neutral rate, which is significantly lower than the current level of the Fed's policy rate, but to slow down as we approach it. Everything is always on the table in the Fed's policy calculus. He also said that the inflation data must continue to improve, if you start looking at...
The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee said the unemployment rate is trending upward in direction, but the level remains low.
The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee says the "golden road" is history, with inflation falling last year without a recession. (Golden Ten)
The Fed's Goolsbee said that the market is pricing interest rates very similar to the Federal Reserve's forecast; as long as the long-term trend shows that inflation is falling, our tolerance for a small upward surprise in CPI will be slightly higher; the fear that if we maintain this level of tightening, the probability of a U.S. recession may increase.
Mr. Goolsbee said the Fed had tightened policy passively as inflation cooled, and there was good reason to think the Fed's forecast of a rate cut would materialise.
The Federal Reserve Goolsbee said that the Federal Reserve needs to focus on the employment task now; the Federal Reserve's forecast clearly shows the path of interest rate cuts; the speed and magnitude of interest rate cuts will be determined by data; the magnitude of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts is not the most important, the future path is the key; based on the current economic outlook, the Federal Reserve does not believe that interest rates will approach zero.
Mr. Goolsbee said the Fed had tightened policy passively as inflation cooled, and there was good reason to think the Fed's forecast of a rate cut would materialise.
The Federal Reserve's Goolsbee expressed support for the Federal Reserve to start paying attention to the job market; inflation is on a path back to 2%; policy is currently at its tightest point in the entire rate hike cycle; Fed forecasts show broad support for rate cuts; and all the conditions for rate cuts hoped for have been met.
Mr. Goolsbee said policy was "very restrictive" and that the economy was not overheating; that a rise in unemployment could indicate a worsening job market; that if the job market was weak, more attention would be paid to the employment sector; that there was somewhat more focus on employment as a policy objective; and that economic conditions would dictate how much interest rates would be cut.
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